Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.057717 0.065537 0.073543 0.082322 0.091649 0.101232 0.111796
2025-08-31 0.043090 0.054206 0.066182 0.079904 0.095057 0.111164 0.129464
2025-09-07 0.035260 0.048397 0.063153 0.080634 0.100485 0.122078 0.147100
2025-09-14 0.030074 0.044644 0.061614 0.082275 0.106259 0.132804 0.164014
2025-09-21 0.027060 0.042968 0.062062 0.085821 0.113867 0.145314 0.182680
2025-09-28 0.023442 0.040065 0.060666 0.086873 0.118325 0.154033 0.196888
2025-10-05 0.023135 0.041321 0.064285 0.093866 0.129691 0.170640 0.220045
2025-10-12 0.019564 0.037831 0.061666 0.093028 0.131586 0.176146 0.230369
2025-10-19 0.017460 0.036128 0.061157 0.094649 0.136309 0.184858 0.244314
2025-10-26 0.015211 0.033964 0.059863 0.095139 0.139548 0.191739 0.256063
2025-11-02 0.013529 0.032457 0.059317 0.096477 0.143744 0.199693 0.269020
2025-11-09 0.011544 0.030238 0.057634 0.096218 0.145867 0.205099 0.278923
2025-11-16 0.008812 0.026517 0.053750 0.093099 0.144552 0.206600 0.284543
2025-11-23 0.006657 0.023406 0.050521 0.090708 0.144075 0.209087 0.291350
2025-11-30 0.005535 0.022006 0.049710 0.091516 0.147627 0.216450 0.303960
2025-12-07 0.004752 0.021137 0.049630 0.093279 0.152375 0.225261 0.318300
2025-12-14 0.004432 0.021212 0.051009 0.097076 0.159770 0.237348 0.336604
2025-12-21 0.003691 0.020177 0.050536 0.098202 0.163634 0.245039 0.349582
2025-12-28 0.004045 0.021834 0.054483 0.105673 0.175888 0.263202 0.375296
2026-01-04 0.003087 0.020032 0.052647 0.104778 0.177047 0.267504 0.384159
2026-01-11 0.002619 0.019371 0.052653 0.106508 0.181664 0.276115 0.398259
2026-01-18 0.002067 0.018292 0.051867 0.107032 0.184637 0.282641 0.409802
2026-01-25 0.001689 0.017608 0.051716 0.108458 0.188801 0.290658 0.423164